Survival of the Essential: How “Necessity” Restaurants Endure Economic Turbulence

Paul Segreto
3 min readAug 7, 2024

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The restaurant industry is experiencing a significant wave of bankruptcy filings, with both well-known brands and smaller establishments feeling the impact. This trend has been exacerbated by economic pressures and the looming threat of a recession, raising concerns about the sustainability of many dining businesses. As consumers tighten their belts, the question arises: are there “necessity” restaurants that will continue to thrive amid these challenges? These low to mid-price establishments, often perceived as essential rather than luxury, might hold the key to resilience in tough economic times. The mindset of “we have to eat, right?” underscores the potential for these everyday dining options to weather financial storms better than their more opulent counterparts.

Statistics reveal a troubling picture for the restaurant industry. According to recent data, the number of restaurant bankruptcies has surged by over 60% compared to previous years. This increase spans various segments of the industry, from fast food to casual dining and even some upscale brands. The fast-casual segment, often seen as a middle ground between fast food and traditional sit-down restaurants, has been particularly hard hit, with a 45% rise in bankruptcy filings. Casual dining chains have not fared much better, witnessing a 35% increase in bankruptcies. Even the fast food segment, usually more resilient, has seen a notable 20% uptick in filings.

Despite these alarming statistics, some restaurant categories show signs of resilience. Establishments offering affordable, everyday meals appear to be better positioned to survive economic downturns. These “necessity” restaurants cater to a fundamental need for sustenance without the perceived luxury or extravagance of higher-end dining options. They provide a straightforward, value-driven dining experience that appeals to consumers looking to manage their expenses while still enjoying dining out.

In contrast, the higher-end dining sector is likely to see a significant polarization. The elite, top-tier restaurants may continue to attract upper middle class to wealthy patrons who are less affected by economic fluctuations. These establishments often have the advantage of strong brand loyalty and a reputation for exceptional quality, which can help them maintain a steady customer base even during economic downturns. This dynamic could create a widening gap between everyday dining and luxury dining experiences, leaving mid-tier restaurants struggling to find their footing.

The closure of many mid-tier and casual dining establishments is a stark reminder of the shifting landscape. In the past year alone, several well-known chains have shuttered numerous locations, citing financial pressures and changing consumer habits. These closures reflect broader industry trends, where diners are increasingly opting for either cost-effective meals or exclusive, high-end experiences, with little room for the in-between.

The restaurant industry’s current challenges highlight the importance of adaptability and understanding consumer behavior. Necessity restaurants that can provide consistent, affordable meals may have a strategic advantage in retaining customer loyalty during economic uncertainty. Conversely, mid-tier establishments must innovate and adapt to remain relevant, potentially redefining their value propositions to better meet the needs of a more budget-conscious clientele.

The ongoing economic pressures and rising bankruptcy filings present a complex scenario for the restaurant industry. While many brands face significant challenges, there is potential for certain segments to emerge stronger. Necessity restaurants, with their focus on essential, affordable dining, may prove to be resilient survivors, maintaining their appeal as reliable options for consumers looking to balance quality and cost. This evolving dynamic underscores the importance of strategic positioning and customer understanding in navigating the uncertain terrain of the restaurant industry.

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About the Author

With over 40 years of extensive experience in small business, restaurant, and franchise development, management, and marketing, Paul Segreto is a recognized authority in the entrepreneurial world. As an executive, consultant, coach, and entrepreneur, Paul has dedicated his career to empowering both current and aspiring business owners. His mission is to pave the way to success by connecting entrepreneurs with the right people, brands, and opportunities.

If you’re a current or aspiring entrepreneur that needs assistance, guidance, or just someone to talk to, please send an email to Paul Segreto at paul@acceler8success.com.

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Paul Segreto
Paul Segreto

Written by Paul Segreto

Passionate about igniting entrepreneurial spirit and empowering others to achieve the American Dream.

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